Here are the Euro election results for Bristol’s local authority area:
Conservatives: 20,675 (19.4%)
Lib Dems: 19,834 (18.6%)
Labour: 17,321 (16.2%)
Greens 16,735 (15.7%)
UKIP: 14,647 (13.7%)
BNP: 6,132 (5.7%)
Pensioner Party: 2,796
English Democrats: 2,029
Christian Party: 1,363
Socialist Labour: 1,245
Fair Pay Fair Trade: 725
Pro Democracy: 613
Katie Hopkins: 436
Jury Party: 347
M Kernow: 287
WAI D: 59
Not exactly sure how you extrapolate out these results to predict what might happen at a general election …
However, I think it’s probably safe to assume that with the Tories coming out top, the ‘Boat Race Election’ (Oxford vs Cambridge) for Ol’ Man Doug’s Bristol North West Labour/Conservative marginal will now certainly be going to Tory gal, Charlotte Leslie (Oxon) rather than Labour’s tacky London barrister boy, Sam Townend (Cantab).
Judging by this Euro result and evidence from the local election results, the Lib Dems also look well set to entrench Stephen Williams in Bristol West, where Labour now look incapable of mounting any serious challenge as the Greens are now even able to talk themselves up as the main challengers there.
That just leaves the ‘safe’ Labour seats of Bristol East and Bristol South where Two Beds and the Dim Prawn sit on large majorities of 8,621 and 11,142 respectively.
But it’s rather hard to see how they will obtain 45% plus of the vote – as they did last time – from their current base of just 16%. Answers on a postcard please.
Looks like we’re in for an interesting political year doesn’t it?
The Blogger hopes to bring you some further ward-by-ward figures for the Euro elections soon …